{"id":869,"date":"2023-09-27T22:09:03","date_gmt":"2023-09-28T02:09:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/?post_type=chapter&#038;p=869"},"modified":"2026-03-29T17:27:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-29T21:27:00","slug":"welcome-to-anchovy-bay","status":"publish","type":"chapter","link":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/chapter\/welcome-to-anchovy-bay\/","title":{"raw":"Tutorial: Welcome to Anchovy Bay","rendered":"Tutorial: Welcome to Anchovy Bay"},"content":{"raw":"<div class=\"textbox textbox--learning-objectives\"><header class=\"textbox__header\">\r\n<p class=\"textbox__title\">Learning Objectives<\/p>\r\n\r\n<\/header>\r\n<div class=\"textbox__content\">\r\n\r\nBy the end of this tutorial, participants will be able to:\r\n<ol>\r\n \t<li><strong>Initiate and Configure a Basic Ecopath Model:<\/strong> Create a new EwE project, define essential functional groups (including primary producers and detritus), and establish relevant fishing fleets for a given ecosystem.<\/li>\r\n \t<li><strong>Parameterize an Ecopath Model with Diverse Dat<\/strong>a: Input ecological data, including biomass, production-to-biomass (P\/B), consumption-to-biomass (Q\/B) ratios, catch data, and diet compositions, using provided values and deriving estimates from external sources (e.g., FishBase, allometric relationships).<\/li>\r\n \t<li><strong>Achieve and Interpret Ecopath Mass Balance<\/strong>: Understand the underlying principles of mass balance in Ecopath and utilize the software's tools to iterate towards a balanced model, critically evaluating the estimated ecotrophic efficiencies (EEs) and other output parameters.<\/li>\r\n \t<li><strong>Perform Initial Model Diagnostics and Exploration<\/strong>: Generate and interpret basic Ecopath outputs, such as \"Basic estimates\" and \"Mixed Trophic Impact,\" to gain preliminary insights into ecosystem structure and trophic interactions.<\/li>\r\n \t<li><strong>Navigate the EwE Interface for Fundamental Operations<\/strong>: Use the Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) software to create models, input data, access key diagnostic tools, and conduct simple exploratory changes to model parameters.<\/li>\r\n \t<li><strong>Recognize Data Requirements and Acquisition Strategies<\/strong>: Identify the specific data types required for Ecopath modeling and understand various practical approaches for acquiring or estimating these data, acknowledging limitations and uncertainties when information is incomplete.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><img class=\"aligncenter wp-image-2593\" title=\"Screenshot from EwE software of Anchovy Bay spatial base map\" src=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52.png\" alt=\"This figure is for illustration only. It shows a rough map of Anchovy Bay with a colour scale that indicates water depth. The land is grey and there are three black circles that indicate location of ports. \" width=\"475\" height=\"477\" \/><\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Figure 1. Simplified basemap of Anchovy Bay from a spatial ecosystem model.\r\nColour gradient indicates depth and the black dots harbours.<\/strong><\/p>\r\nThe purpose of this tutorial is to introduce you to the Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) software, explore what data is required, give examples of where you can get such data, and go through the steps that typically are required when constructing a model.\r\n\r\nWe acknowledge that if you are new to the subject area, you will struggle with this tutorial, but we've built is so that it takes you through it step by step with explanations as you go along, and we expect that you, with a bit of effort, will be able to work your way through it. Please take it as an introduction, when we later introduce and describe all the bits and pieces in detail, you'll have a better idea of how they fit together when you've done this tutorial.\r\n<h2>Introduction to Anchovy Bay<\/h2>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">[pb_glossary id=\"474\"]Anchovy Bay[\/pb_glossary] is a popular tourist attraction with \u00a0its century-old fishing port. Fisheries have traditionally been the mainstay of the area, but catches have declined for decades and shifted from a focus on groundfish to being dominated by shrimp and pelagics.<\/p>\r\nIn recent years, a whale-watching industry has developed linked with growing interest in eco-tourism and recovery of marine mammal populations after earlier periods of whaling and culling.\r\n\r\nWe will use Anchovy Bay as a \"model ecosystem\" throughout this textbook. Anchovy Bay is in many ways ideal for this as it is is well-studied \u2013 to the degree where we have excellent information about the resources in the bay, about how the environment has changed, and of how fisheries and other factors impacting the ecosystem have developed in recent history. The exercises will use variable amounts of information, starting simple (and thereby illustrating the impact of, e.g., missing important drivers) for gradually to include more and more data. This is to simplify the presentation and analysis, but also to illustrate that one can still work with incomplete information \u2013 even if it makes conclusions less reliable and leave more questions open for interpretation.\r\n<h2>Build an ecosystem model<\/h2>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Anchovy Bay covers an area of 10,000 km<sup>2<\/sup>. For this exercise, we assume that it is rather isolated from other marine systems, and that the <span style=\"font-size: 0.9em;text-align: initial\">populations stay in the bay year-round.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<div class=\"textbox textbox--sidebar shaded\">\r\n\r\n<strong>About navigation in EwE:<\/strong>\r\n\r\n<em>Ecopath &gt; Input &gt; Fishery &gt; Landings<\/em> indicates that you should find <em>Ecopath<\/em> in the left-hand side Navigator, then <em>Input<\/em>, then <em>Fishery<\/em>, then the <em>Landings<\/em> tab.\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\nWe want to create a model of the bay in 1970, with the following 11 groups:\r\n\r\nWhales, seals, cod, whiting, mackerel, anchovy, shrimp, benthos, zooplankton, phytoplankton, detritus. [Hint: make a spreadsheet with these group names in rows, you\u2019ll need to do more calculations later]\r\n\r\nStart by opening EwE6, select <em>Menu &gt; File &gt; New model<\/em>. Browse to your preferred file location, and enter a name for the model. For instance, \u201cAnchovy Bay\u201d. \u00a0Now navigate on the Navigator (left panel) to <em>Input data &gt; Basic Input<\/em>. The model will have one group, Detritus.\r\n\r\nAll models must have a detritus group, so we have entered it for you. Why? We need to be sure there is a group where we can send flows of excreted and egested material as well as dead organism. By default, they go to the detritus group.\r\n\r\nOn the <em>Basic input form<\/em>, select <em>Define groups<\/em>\u00a0(also available from the menu on top: <em>Ecopath &gt; Define groups<\/em>). Click <em>Edit &gt; Insert<\/em> on the right side of the form that pops up. Continue clicking <em>Insert<\/em>\u00a0 till you have 11 groups; then enter the group names, i.e., Whales in first row, Seals in second, etc. [Hint: you can cut and paste the names in one go from Excel, using <em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 0.9em\">Ctrl-C Ctrl-V<\/em>]. When you have entered all, define that phytoplankton is a primary producer by clicking the <em>Producer<\/em> check mark in the phytoplankton row. On the right panel, you may also want to click the <em>Colors &gt; Alternate all,<\/em> to get a better distribution of group colors (more distinguishable in Ecosim). Click <em>OK<\/em>.\r\n<div class=\"textbox textbox--sidebar shaded\">\r\n\r\nYou can often cut\/paste values to EwE (<em>Ctrl-C, Ctrl-V<\/em> usually works, cut-paste not always).\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\nWe also need to define the fishing fleets. Click <em>Ecopath &gt; Input &gt; Fishery<\/em> on the Navigator to the left. Then click <em>Fleets<\/em>, and then <em>Define fleets<\/em> above the spreadsheet (or go <em>Menu &gt;Ecopath &gt;Define fleets<\/em>). We want five fleets: sealers, trawlers, seiners, bait boats, and shrimpers. We can enter catches at <em>Ecopath &gt; Input &gt; Fishery &gt; Landings<\/em>; unit has to be t km<sup>-2<\/sup> year<sup>-1<\/sup>. The sealers caught 1,500 seals in 1970 with an average weight of 30 kg. The fisheries catches were 4,500 t of cod and 2,000 t of whiting for the trawlers, 4,000 t of mackerel and 12,000 t of anchovy for the seiners, 2,000 t of anchovy for the bait boats, and 5,000 t of shrimp for the shrimpers. Calculate catches using the appropriate unit (t km<sup>-2<\/sup> year<sup>-1<\/sup>), and enter in EwE.\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/chapter\/biomass\/\">Units are important<\/a>. We all make conversion errors occasionally. Be explicit and check your units (biomass t km<sup>-2<\/sup>, flows t km<sup>-2<\/sup> year<sup>-1<\/sup>). Conversion errors are the most common cause of problems with this tutorial.\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\nThe off-vessel landing prices (<em>Ecopath &gt; Input &gt; Fishery &gt; Off-vessel price<\/em>) are seals $6 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>; cod: $10 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>; whiting $6 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>; mackerel: $4 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>; anchovy from seiners $2 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>, and $3 kg<sup>-1<\/sup> for bait boats. Shrimps are $20 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>. [While landings are in t, it is fine for now to enter landing prices in $\/kg to avoid the extra \u2018000s]. Prices are current prices (hence \u201care\u201d instead of \u201cwere\u201d) as we later will be using these for forward projections. If you lack catch or price information for your own models later, then search, check <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seaaroundus.org\/\">www.seaaroundus.org<\/a>, ask around, or guess!\r\n\r\nWe now should enter the basic input parameters. Fortunately, there has been monitoring in the bay for decades, and we have some biomass survey estimates from 1970. The biomasses must be entered with the unit t km<sup>-2<\/sup>. Whales: 50 individuals with an average weight of 16,000 kg. Seals: 20,300 individuals with an average weight of 30 kg. Cod: 30,000 t. Whiting 18,000 t. Mackerel: 12,000 t. Anchovy: 70,000 t. Shrimp: 0.8 t km<sup>-2<\/sup>. Zooplankton: 14.8 t km<sup>-2<\/sup>, detritus 10 t km<sup>-2<\/sup>.\r\n\r\nNext are production\/biomass (P\/B) ratios, which with certain assumptions (that we won\u2019t worry about now) correspond to the total mortality, <em>Z.<\/em>\u00a0The P\/B are annual rates, so the unit is year<sup>-1<\/sup>. We often can get <em>Z<\/em> from assessments, or, alternatively, we have <em>Z = F + M<\/em> (i.e. we can estimate total mortality as the sum of fishing mortality, F and natural (predation) mortality, M). So, if we have the catch (C) and the biomass (B), we can estimate <em>F = C\/B<\/em> and add the total natural mortality, M, to get <em>Z<\/em>.\r\n\r\nFor fish, we can get estimates of <em>M<\/em> and <em>Q\/B<\/em> from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fishbase.org\">FishBase<\/a>. On the FishBase landings page, search for the species, (<em>Gadus morhua, Scomber scombrus, Engraulis encrasicolus<\/em>), one by one. From the species info screen for each, go to <em>Tools &gt; Life-history tool<\/em>, and extract the <em>Q\/B<\/em> and <em>M<\/em> values for each. Estimate <em>Z = F + M<\/em>. For whiting (<em>Merlangius merlangus<\/em>), we have local estimates of P\/B = 0.58 year<sup>-1 <\/sup>and Q\/B = 3.1 year<sup>-1<\/sup>.\r\n\r\nFor estimating <em>Z<\/em> for exploited species, it is also an option to use an equation that was developed by Ray Beverton and Sidney Holt[footnote]Beverton, R.J.H. and Holt, S.J. 1957. On the dynamics of exploited fish populations. Fisheries Investigations, 19, 1-533.[\/footnote]. It is implemented in the life-history tool table in FishBase. It relies on estimates of length at first capture (<em>L<sub>c<\/sub><\/em>), average length in the catch (<em>L<sub>mean<\/sub><\/em>), and asymptotic length (<em>L<sub>inf<\/sub><\/em>) to estimate<em> Z<\/em>. Try it for the three species here. Here are the lengths from the fishery in Anchovy Bay:\r\n<table style=\"font-weight: 400;height: 75px\">\r\n<tbody>\r\n<tr style=\"height: 15px\">\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 123.775002px\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 95.800003px\">L<sub>c<\/sub>\u00a0(cm)<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 138.800003px\">L<sub>mean<\/sub> (cm)<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr style=\"height: 15px\">\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 123.775002px\">Cod<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 95.800003px\">52<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 138.800003px\">72<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr style=\"height: 15px\">\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 123.775002px\">Mackerel<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 95.800003px\">18.9<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 138.800003px\">26<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr style=\"height: 15px\">\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 123.775002px\">Anchovy<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 95.800003px\">6.8<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 138.800003px\">10<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\r\n\r\nCompare the P\/B = <em>Z<\/em> estimates from the two methods (and consider = decide what to use). Maybe even try both estimates in Ecopath?\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">There is a close relationship between size and <em>P\/B<\/em>; the bigger animals are, the lower the <em>P\/B<\/em>. Here we have: Whales: <em>P\/B<\/em> = 0.05 year<sup>-1<\/sup>; seals: get <em>F<\/em> from catch, and <em>M<\/em> is 0.09 year<sup>-1<\/sup>; shrimp <em>P\/B<\/em> = 3 year<sup>-1<\/sup>; benthos <em>P\/B<\/em> = 3 year<sup>-1<\/sup>; zooplankton: it is mainly small Acartia-sized plankton, with <em>P\/B<\/em> = 35 year<sup>-1<\/sup>.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\"><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">The inverse of <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">P\/B<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\"> (year<\/span><sup style=\"text-align: initial\">-1<\/sup><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">), i.e. <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">B\/P<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\"> has the unit year and expresses average longevity. As an example, whales with <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">P\/B<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\"> = 0.05 year<\/span><sup style=\"text-align: initial\">-1<\/sup><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">, have a <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">B\/P<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\"> ratio (and hence average longevity) of 20 years.<\/span><\/div>\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\r\n\r\nWe can get <em>P\/B<\/em> for many invertebrates from Tom Brey\u2019s work (but don\u2019t need to for this tutorial). Check out: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thomas-brey.de\/science\/virtualhandbook\/\">http:\/\/www.thomas-brey.de\/science\/virtualhandbook\/<\/a>. There is a neat collection of empirical relationships and conversion factors. \u00a0Also check <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sealifebase.ca\">SeaLifeBase<\/a>.\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Consumption\/biomass (Q\/B) ratios for the non-fish groups: for whales use 9 year<sup>-1<\/sup>, and for seals 15 year<sup>-1<\/sup>. For the invertebrates enter a <em>P\/Q<\/em> ratio of 0.25 instead of entering a <em>Q\/B<\/em>.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\r\n\r\nSo, why enter P\/Q instead of Q\/B? When P\/Q is an input, Ecopath will estimate Q\/B = (P\/B)\/(P\/Q). \u00a0This makes it explicit that we haven't bothered to find a Q\/B, but instead use the reasonable assumption that Q\/B = 4 x P\/B. \u00a0We know that organisms only convert a fraction of their energy intake to production. For fish that fraction typically is 0.1-0.3, generally it relates to size where smaller organisms convert more efficiently than larger.\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Finally, there is phytoplankton. We can often get primary production estimates from SeaWiFS satellite data. Here we have <em>PP<\/em> = 240 gC m<sup>-2 <\/sup>year<sup>-1<\/sup>. The conversion factor from gC to gWW is 9, so the total production, <em>P<\/em>, is 9 * 240 t km<sup>-2 <\/sup>year<sup>-1<\/sup>. You can set <em>P\/B<\/em> to 120 year<sup>-1<\/sup>, and calculate <em>B<\/em>. The 120 year<sup>-1<\/sup> is a guess, assuming that phytoplankton divides once per day in the productive part of the year (so less than 360\/year), and is not very important as only the production, <em>P = P\/B * B<\/em> is actually used in calculations. (Very high <em>P\/B<\/em> values may, however, make Ecospace runs dizzy).<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Next parameter is <em>Ecotrophic Efficiency<\/em> (<em>EE<\/em>), this is the part of the production that is used in the system (or rather, for which the model explains the fate of the production). In this model, we are missing a biomass estimate for benthos. We do not explain much of the mortality for this group, so we guess an <em>EE<\/em> = 0.6. For the other groups, we let Ecopath estimate the <em>EE<\/em>s, but bear in mind the definition of <em>EE<\/em> when you evaluate the estimated parameters.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">In the Ecopath baseline year, the whale population had started to recover after whaling, but the seal population was still declining, so the Ecopath baseline model is not in steady state. We specify this on the <em>Input data &gt; Other production<\/em> form by entering a biomass accumulation rate of 0.02 year<sup>-1<\/sup> for whales, and \u20130.05 year<sup>-1<\/sup> for seals.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Now it\u2019s time for diets:<\/p>\r\n[table id=17 \/]\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\r\n\r\nYou should be able to cut-paste (<em>Ctrl-C, Ctrl-V<\/em>) from the spreadsheet above to the Ecopath diet screen. Or, you can download a spreadsheet with the diets from <a href=\"https:\/\/ln5.sync.com\/dl\/741272000\/7kpcgnke-n42jz3au-usz4hm3f-ugm3c4ge\">this link<\/a>.\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\n<span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">We now have the information that is needed to do mass-balance on this model. Select <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">Output &gt; Basic estimates<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">, and check out the outcome. Save the model.<\/span>\r\n<div style=\"font-weight: 400\">\r\n<div style=\"font-weight: 400\">\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Try changing some of the input and see what happens. Don\u2019t save afterwards.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Check out Network analysis (<em>Ecopath &gt; Output &gt; Tools &gt; Network analysis<\/em>), especially, see the <em>Mixed Trophic Impact<\/em> plot<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Go to <em>Ecosim &gt; Output &gt; Run Ecosim &gt; Run<\/em>, and see what happens.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Explore the software.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\nOptionally and time permitting, here are some suggestions for things to try.\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"textbox textbox--exercises\"><header class=\"textbox__header\">\r\n<p class=\"textbox__title\">Network analysis: Mixed Trophic Impact<\/p>\r\n\r\n<\/header>\r\n<div class=\"textbox__content\">\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/chapter\/network-analysis\/\">Network analysis<\/a> is a research field often categorizing networks based on stock and flow properties. Output is often indicators of ecosystem state, performance and function. \u00a0Explore the Network analysis available at <em>Ecopath &gt; Output &gt; Tools &gt; Network analysis\u00a0<\/em>for instance the <em>Cycles and pathways, <\/em>which identifies all cycles and pathways in the model. \u00a0Or the <em>Lindeman spline<\/em>.\r\n\r\nWe'll focus though on a key network module in EwE. the <a href=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/chapter\/network-analysis#MTI\">Mixed Trophic Impact<\/a> (MTI) analysis. MTI originates in the Nobel Prize work of Leontif[footnote]Leontief, W. W., 1951. The Structure of the U.S. Economy. Oxford University Press, New York.[\/footnote] to assess demand-supply and direct and indirect interactions in the economy of the USA, using what has since been called the Leontief matrix or input-output model. In Ecopath network analysis, we have incorporated a derived approach developed by Ulanowicz and Puccia,[footnote]Ulanowicz, R. E., and Puccia, C. J. 1990. Mixed trophic impacts in ecosystems. Coenoses, 5:7-16.[\/footnote] to quantify direct and indirect trophic impacts in an ecosystem.\r\n\r\nYou can find the MTI analysis at <em>Ecopath &gt; Output &gt; Tools &gt; Network analysis &gt; Mixed Trophic Impacts &gt; Mixed trophic impact plot<\/em> where\u00a0<em>Options<\/em> let you change <em>Data<\/em> to <em>Colours<\/em> and\u00a0<em>Plot &gt; Fit to available area<\/em> as options.\r\n\r\nIn the plot, red colours indicate negative competition effects and blue colours positive. The effects are relative and comparable across the ecosystems (fleets included). \u00a0You can think of the effects as addressing the question: \"if we were to change the biomass of the groups mentioned to the right of each row and infinitesimal[footnote]\"infinitesimal\" to indicate a small change that doesn't impact food availability noticeably.[\/footnote] amount, what impact would this have on the groups listed above each column?\"\r\n\r\nTrace the simple connections between predators and prey to find direct impacts, notice how the diagonal indicates within-group competition.\r\n\r\nCan you find any examples of what Sheila Heymans called \"beneficial predation\", i.e where a group preys on another group but still has a positive impact on the prey?[footnote]Spoiler alert: check whales' or mackerel's MTI and diet [\/footnote]\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>Why do seals not have any noticeable impact on any other groups? (apart from on Sealers)<\/li>\r\n \t<li>Why does mackerel have a positive impact on phytoplankton?<\/li>\r\n \t<li>Why do trawlers have a positive impact on shrimpers?<\/li>\r\n \t<li>Why does cod have a positive impact on bait boats?<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\nWhile it's often straightforward to explain simple interactions, e.g., that a predator has a direct negative impact on it's prey, but a positive impact on the prey of the prey, the MTI excels at revealing indirect impacts driven by competition rather than direct food chain effects. \u00a0It's really a neat analysis.\r\n\r\n[h5p id=\"12\"]\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"textbox textbox--exercises\"><header class=\"textbox__header\">\r\n<p class=\"textbox__title\">Ecosim: time dynamic simulation<\/p>\r\n\r\n<\/header>\r\n<div class=\"textbox__content\">\r\n\r\nWe can now go straight to Ecosim now. \u00a0Create a new Ecosim scenario, at the top-row menu select <em>Ecosim &gt; Create new scenario,<\/em> and name it, e.g., \"Ecosim try\". Next, in the Navigator on the left, go <em>Ecosim &gt; Output &gt; Run Ecosim<\/em>, and click the <em>Run<\/em> button on the lower left. \u00a0Ecosim will now run a multi-year simulation. Yes, there are default values that makes this possible.\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\r\n\r\nWe practice a \"<em>Model first, ask later\" <\/em>philosophy and find that getting you to run a model and ask questions, improve runs through model feedback, beats meticulous long-term model development before getting to get a sense of what matters through running the model.\r\n\r\nThe modelling philosophy thus also says: \u00a0\"<em>When you start a new project, make a quick model the first week\"<\/em>. Don't spend a year getting the data lined up before you start running your model. The initial model will make you focus on your research\/policy questions from the onset as well as making it much clearer where you need to focus on your data accession. \u00a0Also, it will tell you what matters less for the research\/policy questions.\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\n<img class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4434\" src=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1942\" height=\"1154\" \/>\r\n\r\nThe first run probably looks like on the figure above[footnote]If not, download the model database from the link at the bottom of this page \u2013 and when you open that model, don't load the included Scene 1 scenario, but create a new (default value) scenario.[\/footnote].\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>Why do whales increase?<\/li>\r\n \t<li>Why do seals decrease?<\/li>\r\n \t<li>Why do mackerel decrease?<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\nThese changes demonstrate that Ecopath is not a steady state model. When in Ecopath we include biomass accumulation (BA) for a group, we tell the model that the group wasn't in steady state in the base year. \u00a0For Anchovy Bay, we have that whales were recovering from a long history of whaling (hence, a positive BA), and that the seals were declining because of over-exploitation (negative BA). \u00a0Remember the second Ecopath Master Equation,\r\n\r\n<em>Production = predation + fishing mortality + net migration + biomass accumulation + other mortality<\/em>\r\n\r\nNote that there are cascading food web effects, why do mackerel decrease?\r\n\r\nAlso note that the increase\/decrease for the whales and seals gradually moves toward an asymptotic level. Why? The answer to that question relates to the MTI we checked above. Remember how on the diagonal all impacts were negative? \u00a0All groups compete with themselves for resources, that's not a surprise as all groups have a carrying capacity in the ecosystem: that's how much the resources they rely on can sustain. \u00a0So, whales will gradually move toward that carrying capacity, and each seal will as their population decline get more food resources, leading to better growth and survival \u2013 in spite of continued seal exploitation.\r\n\r\nSo, we now have an Ecosim run, but is it credible? \u00a0Certainly, the general pattern is OK, but how much would the whales and seals actually change if this was the real world?\r\n\r\nTo address that question,[footnote]Notice that we've now turned to addressing a policy\/research question, which helps focus how we work with models[\/footnote] remember the carrying capacity, a central aspect of all population modelling, which relates to density-dependence. The key, density-dependent parameter in Ecosim that captures carrying capacity is called the <a href=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/chapter\/density-dependence-carrying-capacity-and-vulnerability-multipliers\/\"><em>vulnerability multiplier<\/em><\/a>. \u00a0This parameter\u00a0tells Ecosim how far from carrying capacity a predator is in the base Ecopath model relative to its carrying capacity: the default vulnerability multiplier of 2, tells Ecosim that if that predator was to grow to its carrying capacity it could at most increase the predation mortality it's causing on its prey with a factor or 2.\r\n\r\nWhales and seals were both far from their carrying capacity in the base year, so we should expect their vulnerability multipliers to be higher than 2. \u00a0Let's just guess that they could both increase the predation mortality that they are causing on their prey with an order of magnitude, that's setting their vulnerability multipliers to 10.\r\n\r\nLet's try it. While you are on the <em>Ecosim Run<\/em> screen, click <em>Show multiple runs<\/em> above the plot. The go to <em>Ecosim &gt; Input &gt;<\/em> Vulnerabilities and click <em>1 <\/em>in the heading row, enter <em>10<\/em> in the text box on the top right, click <em>Apply<\/em> next to the text book. It should now set the vulnerability multipliers to 10 for all whale prey groups. \u00a0(You can also just enter <em>10<\/em> in each whale-prey cell, but the short cut is good to know). Now, do the same for seals by clicking on <em>2<\/em> in the heading row, etc.\r\n\r\nNext go back to the <em>Ecosim Run<\/em> screen and run the model again. \u00a0What happens now?\r\n\r\n<img class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4439\" src=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1952\" height=\"1118\" \/>\r\n\r\nSee the figure above, the whales now continue to grow, and the seals to decline. \u00a0How do we then figure out how it should be? \u00a0That's where time series come in. They can tell us how a group has reacted historically, and are essential for model fitting = getting a handle on <em>the-one-parameter-in-Ecosim-that-rules-them-all<\/em>, the vulnerability multipliers. But that's a tale for another day.\r\n\r\nFeel free to explore your Anchovy Bay, remember it's \"<em>model first, ask later\".<\/em>\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n&nbsp;\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">If need be, you can download the database for the present tutorial at <a href=\"https:\/\/ln5.sync.com\/dl\/7e8920510\/cpr3mexp-nhn9ab3i-7cg883k8-rdav86dn\">this link<\/a><\/div>","rendered":"<div class=\"textbox textbox--learning-objectives\">\n<header class=\"textbox__header\">\n<p class=\"textbox__title\">Learning Objectives<\/p>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"textbox__content\">\n<p>By the end of this tutorial, participants will be able to:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Initiate and Configure a Basic Ecopath Model:<\/strong> Create a new EwE project, define essential functional groups (including primary producers and detritus), and establish relevant fishing fleets for a given ecosystem.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Parameterize an Ecopath Model with Diverse Dat<\/strong>a: Input ecological data, including biomass, production-to-biomass (P\/B), consumption-to-biomass (Q\/B) ratios, catch data, and diet compositions, using provided values and deriving estimates from external sources (e.g., FishBase, allometric relationships).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Achieve and Interpret Ecopath Mass Balance<\/strong>: Understand the underlying principles of mass balance in Ecopath and utilize the software&#8217;s tools to iterate towards a balanced model, critically evaluating the estimated ecotrophic efficiencies (EEs) and other output parameters.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Perform Initial Model Diagnostics and Exploration<\/strong>: Generate and interpret basic Ecopath outputs, such as &#8220;Basic estimates&#8221; and &#8220;Mixed Trophic Impact,&#8221; to gain preliminary insights into ecosystem structure and trophic interactions.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Navigate the EwE Interface for Fundamental Operations<\/strong>: Use the Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) software to create models, input data, access key diagnostic tools, and conduct simple exploratory changes to model parameters.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Recognize Data Requirements and Acquisition Strategies<\/strong>: Identify the specific data types required for Ecopath modeling and understand various practical approaches for acquiring or estimating these data, acknowledging limitations and uncertainties when information is incomplete.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-2593\" title=\"Screenshot from EwE software of Anchovy Bay spatial base map\" src=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52.png\" alt=\"This figure is for illustration only. It shows a rough map of Anchovy Bay with a colour scale that indicates water depth. The land is grey and there are three black circles that indicate location of ports.\" width=\"475\" height=\"477\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52.png 1156w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52-298x300.png 298w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52-1019x1024.png 1019w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52-768x772.png 768w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52-65x65.png 65w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52-225x226.png 225w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Screenshot-2024-01-10-at-13.13.52-350x352.png 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 475px) 100vw, 475px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Figure 1. Simplified basemap of Anchovy Bay from a spatial ecosystem model.<br \/>\nColour gradient indicates depth and the black dots harbours.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The purpose of this tutorial is to introduce you to the Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) software, explore what data is required, give examples of where you can get such data, and go through the steps that typically are required when constructing a model.<\/p>\n<p>We acknowledge that if you are new to the subject area, you will struggle with this tutorial, but we&#8217;ve built is so that it takes you through it step by step with explanations as you go along, and we expect that you, with a bit of effort, will be able to work your way through it. Please take it as an introduction, when we later introduce and describe all the bits and pieces in detail, you&#8217;ll have a better idea of how they fit together when you&#8217;ve done this tutorial.<\/p>\n<h2>Introduction to Anchovy Bay<\/h2>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Anchovy Bay is a popular tourist attraction with \u00a0its century-old fishing port. Fisheries have traditionally been the mainstay of the area, but catches have declined for decades and shifted from a focus on groundfish to being dominated by shrimp and pelagics.<\/p>\n<p>In recent years, a whale-watching industry has developed linked with growing interest in eco-tourism and recovery of marine mammal populations after earlier periods of whaling and culling.<\/p>\n<p>We will use Anchovy Bay as a &#8220;model ecosystem&#8221; throughout this textbook. Anchovy Bay is in many ways ideal for this as it is is well-studied \u2013 to the degree where we have excellent information about the resources in the bay, about how the environment has changed, and of how fisheries and other factors impacting the ecosystem have developed in recent history. The exercises will use variable amounts of information, starting simple (and thereby illustrating the impact of, e.g., missing important drivers) for gradually to include more and more data. This is to simplify the presentation and analysis, but also to illustrate that one can still work with incomplete information \u2013 even if it makes conclusions less reliable and leave more questions open for interpretation.<\/p>\n<h2>Build an ecosystem model<\/h2>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Anchovy Bay covers an area of 10,000 km<sup>2<\/sup>. For this exercise, we assume that it is rather isolated from other marine systems, and that the <span style=\"font-size: 0.9em;text-align: initial\">populations stay in the bay year-round.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox textbox--sidebar shaded\">\n<p><strong>About navigation in EwE:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Ecopath &gt; Input &gt; Fishery &gt; Landings<\/em> indicates that you should find <em>Ecopath<\/em> in the left-hand side Navigator, then <em>Input<\/em>, then <em>Fishery<\/em>, then the <em>Landings<\/em> tab.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>We want to create a model of the bay in 1970, with the following 11 groups:<\/p>\n<p>Whales, seals, cod, whiting, mackerel, anchovy, shrimp, benthos, zooplankton, phytoplankton, detritus. [Hint: make a spreadsheet with these group names in rows, you\u2019ll need to do more calculations later]<\/p>\n<p>Start by opening EwE6, select <em>Menu &gt; File &gt; New model<\/em>. Browse to your preferred file location, and enter a name for the model. For instance, \u201cAnchovy Bay\u201d. \u00a0Now navigate on the Navigator (left panel) to <em>Input data &gt; Basic Input<\/em>. The model will have one group, Detritus.<\/p>\n<p>All models must have a detritus group, so we have entered it for you. Why? We need to be sure there is a group where we can send flows of excreted and egested material as well as dead organism. By default, they go to the detritus group.<\/p>\n<p>On the <em>Basic input form<\/em>, select <em>Define groups<\/em>\u00a0(also available from the menu on top: <em>Ecopath &gt; Define groups<\/em>). Click <em>Edit &gt; Insert<\/em> on the right side of the form that pops up. Continue clicking <em>Insert<\/em>\u00a0 till you have 11 groups; then enter the group names, i.e., Whales in first row, Seals in second, etc. [Hint: you can cut and paste the names in one go from Excel, using <em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 0.9em\">Ctrl-C Ctrl-V<\/em>]. When you have entered all, define that phytoplankton is a primary producer by clicking the <em>Producer<\/em> check mark in the phytoplankton row. On the right panel, you may also want to click the <em>Colors &gt; Alternate all,<\/em> to get a better distribution of group colors (more distinguishable in Ecosim). Click <em>OK<\/em>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox textbox--sidebar shaded\">\n<p>You can often cut\/paste values to EwE (<em>Ctrl-C, Ctrl-V<\/em> usually works, cut-paste not always).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>We also need to define the fishing fleets. Click <em>Ecopath &gt; Input &gt; Fishery<\/em> on the Navigator to the left. Then click <em>Fleets<\/em>, and then <em>Define fleets<\/em> above the spreadsheet (or go <em>Menu &gt;Ecopath &gt;Define fleets<\/em>). We want five fleets: sealers, trawlers, seiners, bait boats, and shrimpers. We can enter catches at <em>Ecopath &gt; Input &gt; Fishery &gt; Landings<\/em>; unit has to be t km<sup>-2<\/sup> year<sup>-1<\/sup>. The sealers caught 1,500 seals in 1970 with an average weight of 30 kg. The fisheries catches were 4,500 t of cod and 2,000 t of whiting for the trawlers, 4,000 t of mackerel and 12,000 t of anchovy for the seiners, 2,000 t of anchovy for the bait boats, and 5,000 t of shrimp for the shrimpers. Calculate catches using the appropriate unit (t km<sup>-2<\/sup> year<sup>-1<\/sup>), and enter in EwE.<\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/chapter\/biomass\/\">Units are important<\/a>. We all make conversion errors occasionally. Be explicit and check your units (biomass t km<sup>-2<\/sup>, flows t km<sup>-2<\/sup> year<sup>-1<\/sup>). Conversion errors are the most common cause of problems with this tutorial.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>The off-vessel landing prices (<em>Ecopath &gt; Input &gt; Fishery &gt; Off-vessel price<\/em>) are seals $6 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>; cod: $10 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>; whiting $6 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>; mackerel: $4 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>; anchovy from seiners $2 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>, and $3 kg<sup>-1<\/sup> for bait boats. Shrimps are $20 kg<sup>-1<\/sup>. [While landings are in t, it is fine for now to enter landing prices in $\/kg to avoid the extra \u2018000s]. Prices are current prices (hence \u201care\u201d instead of \u201cwere\u201d) as we later will be using these for forward projections. If you lack catch or price information for your own models later, then search, check <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seaaroundus.org\/\">www.seaaroundus.org<\/a>, ask around, or guess!<\/p>\n<p>We now should enter the basic input parameters. Fortunately, there has been monitoring in the bay for decades, and we have some biomass survey estimates from 1970. The biomasses must be entered with the unit t km<sup>-2<\/sup>. Whales: 50 individuals with an average weight of 16,000 kg. Seals: 20,300 individuals with an average weight of 30 kg. Cod: 30,000 t. Whiting 18,000 t. Mackerel: 12,000 t. Anchovy: 70,000 t. Shrimp: 0.8 t km<sup>-2<\/sup>. Zooplankton: 14.8 t km<sup>-2<\/sup>, detritus 10 t km<sup>-2<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>Next are production\/biomass (P\/B) ratios, which with certain assumptions (that we won\u2019t worry about now) correspond to the total mortality, <em>Z.<\/em>\u00a0The P\/B are annual rates, so the unit is year<sup>-1<\/sup>. We often can get <em>Z<\/em> from assessments, or, alternatively, we have <em>Z = F + M<\/em> (i.e. we can estimate total mortality as the sum of fishing mortality, F and natural (predation) mortality, M). So, if we have the catch (C) and the biomass (B), we can estimate <em>F = C\/B<\/em> and add the total natural mortality, M, to get <em>Z<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>For fish, we can get estimates of <em>M<\/em> and <em>Q\/B<\/em> from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fishbase.org\">FishBase<\/a>. On the FishBase landings page, search for the species, (<em>Gadus morhua, Scomber scombrus, Engraulis encrasicolus<\/em>), one by one. From the species info screen for each, go to <em>Tools &gt; Life-history tool<\/em>, and extract the <em>Q\/B<\/em> and <em>M<\/em> values for each. Estimate <em>Z = F + M<\/em>. For whiting (<em>Merlangius merlangus<\/em>), we have local estimates of P\/B = 0.58 year<sup>-1 <\/sup>and Q\/B = 3.1 year<sup>-1<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>For estimating <em>Z<\/em> for exploited species, it is also an option to use an equation that was developed by Ray Beverton and Sidney Holt<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"Beverton, R.J.H. and Holt, S.J. 1957. On the dynamics of exploited fish populations. Fisheries Investigations, 19, 1-533.\" id=\"return-footnote-869-1\" href=\"#footnote-869-1\" aria-label=\"Footnote 1\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[1]<\/sup><\/a>. It is implemented in the life-history tool table in FishBase. It relies on estimates of length at first capture (<em>L<sub>c<\/sub><\/em>), average length in the catch (<em>L<sub>mean<\/sub><\/em>), and asymptotic length (<em>L<sub>inf<\/sub><\/em>) to estimate<em> Z<\/em>. Try it for the three species here. Here are the lengths from the fishery in Anchovy Bay:<\/p>\n<table style=\"font-weight: 400;height: 75px\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"height: 15px\">\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 123.775002px\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 95.800003px\">L<sub>c<\/sub>\u00a0(cm)<\/td>\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 138.800003px\">L<sub>mean<\/sub> (cm)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 15px\">\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 123.775002px\">Cod<\/td>\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 95.800003px\">52<\/td>\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 138.800003px\">72<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 15px\">\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 123.775002px\">Mackerel<\/td>\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 95.800003px\">18.9<\/td>\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 138.800003px\">26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 15px\">\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 123.775002px\">Anchovy<\/td>\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 95.800003px\">6.8<\/td>\n<td style=\"height: 15px;width: 138.800003px\">10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\n<p>Compare the P\/B = <em>Z<\/em> estimates from the two methods (and consider = decide what to use). Maybe even try both estimates in Ecopath?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">There is a close relationship between size and <em>P\/B<\/em>; the bigger animals are, the lower the <em>P\/B<\/em>. Here we have: Whales: <em>P\/B<\/em> = 0.05 year<sup>-1<\/sup>; seals: get <em>F<\/em> from catch, and <em>M<\/em> is 0.09 year<sup>-1<\/sup>; shrimp <em>P\/B<\/em> = 3 year<sup>-1<\/sup>; benthos <em>P\/B<\/em> = 3 year<sup>-1<\/sup>; zooplankton: it is mainly small Acartia-sized plankton, with <em>P\/B<\/em> = 35 year<sup>-1<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\"><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">The inverse of <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">P\/B<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\"> (year<\/span><sup style=\"text-align: initial\">-1<\/sup><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">), i.e. <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">B\/P<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\"> has the unit year and expresses average longevity. As an example, whales with <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">P\/B<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\"> = 0.05 year<\/span><sup style=\"text-align: initial\">-1<\/sup><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">, have a <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">B\/P<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\"> ratio (and hence average longevity) of 20 years.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\n<p>We can get <em>P\/B<\/em> for many invertebrates from Tom Brey\u2019s work (but don\u2019t need to for this tutorial). Check out: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thomas-brey.de\/science\/virtualhandbook\/\">http:\/\/www.thomas-brey.de\/science\/virtualhandbook\/<\/a>. There is a neat collection of empirical relationships and conversion factors. \u00a0Also check <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sealifebase.ca\">SeaLifeBase<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Consumption\/biomass (Q\/B) ratios for the non-fish groups: for whales use 9 year<sup>-1<\/sup>, and for seals 15 year<sup>-1<\/sup>. For the invertebrates enter a <em>P\/Q<\/em> ratio of 0.25 instead of entering a <em>Q\/B<\/em>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\n<p>So, why enter P\/Q instead of Q\/B? When P\/Q is an input, Ecopath will estimate Q\/B = (P\/B)\/(P\/Q). \u00a0This makes it explicit that we haven&#8217;t bothered to find a Q\/B, but instead use the reasonable assumption that Q\/B = 4 x P\/B. \u00a0We know that organisms only convert a fraction of their energy intake to production. For fish that fraction typically is 0.1-0.3, generally it relates to size where smaller organisms convert more efficiently than larger.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Finally, there is phytoplankton. We can often get primary production estimates from SeaWiFS satellite data. Here we have <em>PP<\/em> = 240 gC m<sup>-2 <\/sup>year<sup>-1<\/sup>. The conversion factor from gC to gWW is 9, so the total production, <em>P<\/em>, is 9 * 240 t km<sup>-2 <\/sup>year<sup>-1<\/sup>. You can set <em>P\/B<\/em> to 120 year<sup>-1<\/sup>, and calculate <em>B<\/em>. The 120 year<sup>-1<\/sup> is a guess, assuming that phytoplankton divides once per day in the productive part of the year (so less than 360\/year), and is not very important as only the production, <em>P = P\/B * B<\/em> is actually used in calculations. (Very high <em>P\/B<\/em> values may, however, make Ecospace runs dizzy).<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Next parameter is <em>Ecotrophic Efficiency<\/em> (<em>EE<\/em>), this is the part of the production that is used in the system (or rather, for which the model explains the fate of the production). In this model, we are missing a biomass estimate for benthos. We do not explain much of the mortality for this group, so we guess an <em>EE<\/em> = 0.6. For the other groups, we let Ecopath estimate the <em>EE<\/em>s, but bear in mind the definition of <em>EE<\/em> when you evaluate the estimated parameters.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">In the Ecopath baseline year, the whale population had started to recover after whaling, but the seal population was still declining, so the Ecopath baseline model is not in steady state. We specify this on the <em>Input data &gt; Other production<\/em> form by entering a biomass accumulation rate of 0.02 year<sup>-1<\/sup> for whales, and \u20130.05 year<sup>-1<\/sup> for seals.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Now it\u2019s time for diets:<\/p>\n<table id=\"tablepress-17\" class=\"tablepress tablepress-id-17\">\n<thead>\n<tr class=\"row-1\">\n<th class=\"column-1\"><u>#<\/u><\/th>\n<th class=\"column-2\">Prey \\ predator<\/th>\n<th class=\"column-3\">1<\/th>\n<th class=\"column-4\">2<\/th>\n<th class=\"column-5\">3<\/th>\n<th class=\"column-6\">4<\/th>\n<th class=\"column-7\">5<\/th>\n<th class=\"column-8\">6<\/th>\n<th class=\"column-9\">7<\/th>\n<th class=\"column-10\">8<\/th>\n<th class=\"column-11\">9<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"row-striping row-hover\">\n<tr class=\"row-2\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Whales<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-3\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Seals<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-4\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Cod<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0.1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0.04<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0.05<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-5\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Whiting<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0.1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0.05<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0.05<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0.05<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-6\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Mackerel<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0.2<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0.05<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-7\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Anchovy<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0.5<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0.1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0.45<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0.5<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-8\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Shrimp<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0.01<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0.01<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0.01<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-9\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Benthos<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0.1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0.9<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0.84<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0.44<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0.1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-10\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Zooplankton<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0.45<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0.1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-11\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Phytoplankton<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0.1<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-12\">\n<td class=\"column-1\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-2\">Detritus<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-10\">0.7<\/td>\n<td class=\"column-11\">0.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><!-- #tablepress-17 from cache --><\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\n<p>You should be able to cut-paste (<em>Ctrl-C, Ctrl-V<\/em>) from the spreadsheet above to the Ecopath diet screen. Or, you can download a spreadsheet with the diets from <a href=\"https:\/\/ln5.sync.com\/dl\/741272000\/7kpcgnke-n42jz3au-usz4hm3f-ugm3c4ge\">this link<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">We now have the information that is needed to do mass-balance on this model. Select <\/span><em style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">Output &gt; Basic estimates<\/em><span style=\"text-align: initial;font-size: 1em\">, and check out the outcome. Save the model.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"font-weight: 400\">\n<div style=\"font-weight: 400\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Try changing some of the input and see what happens. Don\u2019t save afterwards.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Check out Network analysis (<em>Ecopath &gt; Output &gt; Tools &gt; Network analysis<\/em>), especially, see the <em>Mixed Trophic Impact<\/em> plot<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Go to <em>Ecosim &gt; Output &gt; Run Ecosim &gt; Run<\/em>, and see what happens.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Explore the software.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Optionally and time permitting, here are some suggestions for things to try.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"textbox textbox--exercises\">\n<header class=\"textbox__header\">\n<p class=\"textbox__title\">Network analysis: Mixed Trophic Impact<\/p>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"textbox__content\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/chapter\/network-analysis\/\">Network analysis<\/a> is a research field often categorizing networks based on stock and flow properties. Output is often indicators of ecosystem state, performance and function. \u00a0Explore the Network analysis available at <em>Ecopath &gt; Output &gt; Tools &gt; Network analysis\u00a0<\/em>for instance the <em>Cycles and pathways, <\/em>which identifies all cycles and pathways in the model. \u00a0Or the <em>Lindeman spline<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ll focus though on a key network module in EwE. the <a href=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/chapter\/network-analysis#MTI\">Mixed Trophic Impact<\/a> (MTI) analysis. MTI originates in the Nobel Prize work of Leontif<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"Leontief, W. W., 1951. The Structure of the U.S. Economy. Oxford University Press, New York.\" id=\"return-footnote-869-2\" href=\"#footnote-869-2\" aria-label=\"Footnote 2\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[2]<\/sup><\/a> to assess demand-supply and direct and indirect interactions in the economy of the USA, using what has since been called the Leontief matrix or input-output model. In Ecopath network analysis, we have incorporated a derived approach developed by Ulanowicz and Puccia,<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"Ulanowicz, R. E., and Puccia, C. J. 1990. Mixed trophic impacts in ecosystems. Coenoses, 5:7-16.\" id=\"return-footnote-869-3\" href=\"#footnote-869-3\" aria-label=\"Footnote 3\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[3]<\/sup><\/a> to quantify direct and indirect trophic impacts in an ecosystem.<\/p>\n<p>You can find the MTI analysis at <em>Ecopath &gt; Output &gt; Tools &gt; Network analysis &gt; Mixed Trophic Impacts &gt; Mixed trophic impact plot<\/em> where\u00a0<em>Options<\/em> let you change <em>Data<\/em> to <em>Colours<\/em> and\u00a0<em>Plot &gt; Fit to available area<\/em> as options.<\/p>\n<p>In the plot, red colours indicate negative competition effects and blue colours positive. The effects are relative and comparable across the ecosystems (fleets included). \u00a0You can think of the effects as addressing the question: &#8220;if we were to change the biomass of the groups mentioned to the right of each row and infinitesimal<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"&quot;infinitesimal&quot; to indicate a small change that doesn't impact food availability noticeably.\" id=\"return-footnote-869-4\" href=\"#footnote-869-4\" aria-label=\"Footnote 4\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[4]<\/sup><\/a> amount, what impact would this have on the groups listed above each column?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Trace the simple connections between predators and prey to find direct impacts, notice how the diagonal indicates within-group competition.<\/p>\n<p>Can you find any examples of what Sheila Heymans called &#8220;beneficial predation&#8221;, i.e where a group preys on another group but still has a positive impact on the prey?<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"Spoiler alert: check whales' or mackerel's MTI and diet\" id=\"return-footnote-869-5\" href=\"#footnote-869-5\" aria-label=\"Footnote 5\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[5]<\/sup><\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Why do seals not have any noticeable impact on any other groups? (apart from on Sealers)<\/li>\n<li>Why does mackerel have a positive impact on phytoplankton?<\/li>\n<li>Why do trawlers have a positive impact on shrimpers?<\/li>\n<li>Why does cod have a positive impact on bait boats?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>While it&#8217;s often straightforward to explain simple interactions, e.g., that a predator has a direct negative impact on it&#8217;s prey, but a positive impact on the prey of the prey, the MTI excels at revealing indirect impacts driven by competition rather than direct food chain effects. \u00a0It&#8217;s really a neat analysis.<\/p>\n<div id=\"h5p-12\">\n<div class=\"h5p-iframe-wrapper\"><iframe id=\"h5p-iframe-12\" class=\"h5p-iframe\" data-content-id=\"12\" style=\"height:1px\" src=\"about:blank\" frameBorder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" title=\"MTI Anchovy Bay\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"textbox textbox--exercises\">\n<header class=\"textbox__header\">\n<p class=\"textbox__title\">Ecosim: time dynamic simulation<\/p>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"textbox__content\">\n<p>We can now go straight to Ecosim now. \u00a0Create a new Ecosim scenario, at the top-row menu select <em>Ecosim &gt; Create new scenario,<\/em> and name it, e.g., &#8220;Ecosim try&#8221;. Next, in the Navigator on the left, go <em>Ecosim &gt; Output &gt; Run Ecosim<\/em>, and click the <em>Run<\/em> button on the lower left. \u00a0Ecosim will now run a multi-year simulation. Yes, there are default values that makes this possible.<\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\n<p>We practice a &#8220;<em>Model first, ask later&#8221; <\/em>philosophy and find that getting you to run a model and ask questions, improve runs through model feedback, beats meticulous long-term model development before getting to get a sense of what matters through running the model.<\/p>\n<p>The modelling philosophy thus also says: \u00a0&#8220;<em>When you start a new project, make a quick model the first week&#8221;<\/em>. Don&#8217;t spend a year getting the data lined up before you start running your model. The initial model will make you focus on your research\/policy questions from the onset as well as making it much clearer where you need to focus on your data accession. \u00a0Also, it will tell you what matters less for the research\/policy questions.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4434\" src=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1942\" height=\"1154\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run.png 1942w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run-300x178.png 300w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run-1024x608.png 1024w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run-768x456.png 768w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run-1536x913.png 1536w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run-65x39.png 65w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run-225x134.png 225w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/Anchovy-Bay-first-run-350x208.png 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1942px) 100vw, 1942px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The first run probably looks like on the figure above<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"If not, download the model database from the link at the bottom of this page \u2013 and when you open that model, don't load the included Scene 1 scenario, but create a new (default value) scenario.\" id=\"return-footnote-869-6\" href=\"#footnote-869-6\" aria-label=\"Footnote 6\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[6]<\/sup><\/a>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Why do whales increase?<\/li>\n<li>Why do seals decrease?<\/li>\n<li>Why do mackerel decrease?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These changes demonstrate that Ecopath is not a steady state model. When in Ecopath we include biomass accumulation (BA) for a group, we tell the model that the group wasn&#8217;t in steady state in the base year. \u00a0For Anchovy Bay, we have that whales were recovering from a long history of whaling (hence, a positive BA), and that the seals were declining because of over-exploitation (negative BA). \u00a0Remember the second Ecopath Master Equation,<\/p>\n<p><em>Production = predation + fishing mortality + net migration + biomass accumulation + other mortality<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Note that there are cascading food web effects, why do mackerel decrease?<\/p>\n<p>Also note that the increase\/decrease for the whales and seals gradually moves toward an asymptotic level. Why? The answer to that question relates to the MTI we checked above. Remember how on the diagonal all impacts were negative? \u00a0All groups compete with themselves for resources, that&#8217;s not a surprise as all groups have a carrying capacity in the ecosystem: that&#8217;s how much the resources they rely on can sustain. \u00a0So, whales will gradually move toward that carrying capacity, and each seal will as their population decline get more food resources, leading to better growth and survival \u2013 in spite of continued seal exploitation.<\/p>\n<p>So, we now have an Ecosim run, but is it credible? \u00a0Certainly, the general pattern is OK, but how much would the whales and seals actually change if this was the real world?<\/p>\n<p>To address that question,<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"Notice that we've now turned to addressing a policy\/research question, which helps focus how we work with models\" id=\"return-footnote-869-7\" href=\"#footnote-869-7\" aria-label=\"Footnote 7\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[7]<\/sup><\/a> remember the carrying capacity, a central aspect of all population modelling, which relates to density-dependence. The key, density-dependent parameter in Ecosim that captures carrying capacity is called the <a href=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/chapter\/density-dependence-carrying-capacity-and-vulnerability-multipliers\/\"><em>vulnerability multiplier<\/em><\/a>. \u00a0This parameter\u00a0tells Ecosim how far from carrying capacity a predator is in the base Ecopath model relative to its carrying capacity: the default vulnerability multiplier of 2, tells Ecosim that if that predator was to grow to its carrying capacity it could at most increase the predation mortality it&#8217;s causing on its prey with a factor or 2.<\/p>\n<p>Whales and seals were both far from their carrying capacity in the base year, so we should expect their vulnerability multipliers to be higher than 2. \u00a0Let&#8217;s just guess that they could both increase the predation mortality that they are causing on their prey with an order of magnitude, that&#8217;s setting their vulnerability multipliers to 10.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s try it. While you are on the <em>Ecosim Run<\/em> screen, click <em>Show multiple runs<\/em> above the plot. The go to <em>Ecosim &gt; Input &gt;<\/em> Vulnerabilities and click <em>1 <\/em>in the heading row, enter <em>10<\/em> in the text box on the top right, click <em>Apply<\/em> next to the text book. It should now set the vulnerability multipliers to 10 for all whale prey groups. \u00a0(You can also just enter <em>10<\/em> in each whale-prey cell, but the short cut is good to know). Now, do the same for seals by clicking on <em>2<\/em> in the heading row, etc.<\/p>\n<p>Next go back to the <em>Ecosim Run<\/em> screen and run the model again. \u00a0What happens now?<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4439\" src=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1952\" height=\"1118\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10.png 1952w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10-1024x586.png 1024w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10-768x440.png 768w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10-1536x880.png 1536w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10-65x37.png 65w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10-225x129.png 225w, https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1902\/2023\/09\/AB-vuln-2-and-10-350x200.png 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1952px) 100vw, 1952px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>See the figure above, the whales now continue to grow, and the seals to decline. \u00a0How do we then figure out how it should be? \u00a0That&#8217;s where time series come in. They can tell us how a group has reacted historically, and are essential for model fitting = getting a handle on <em>the-one-parameter-in-Ecosim-that-rules-them-all<\/em>, the vulnerability multipliers. But that&#8217;s a tale for another day.<\/p>\n<p>Feel free to explore your Anchovy Bay, remember it&#8217;s &#8220;<em>model first, ask later&#8221;.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">If need be, you can download the database for the present tutorial at <a href=\"https:\/\/ln5.sync.com\/dl\/7e8920510\/cpr3mexp-nhn9ab3i-7cg883k8-rdav86dn\">this link<\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"media-attributions clear\" prefix:cc=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/ns#\" prefix:dc=\"http:\/\/purl.org\/dc\/terms\/\"><h2>Media Attributions<\/h2><ul><li >Ecospace &gt; Input &gt; Maps       <\/li><li >Original       <\/li><li >Original       <\/li><\/ul><\/div><hr class=\"before-footnotes clear\" \/><div class=\"footnotes\"><ol><li id=\"footnote-869-1\">Beverton, R.J.H. and Holt, S.J. 1957. On the dynamics of exploited fish populations. Fisheries Investigations, 19, 1-533. <a href=\"#return-footnote-869-1\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 1\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><li id=\"footnote-869-2\">Leontief, W. W., 1951. The Structure of the U.S. Economy. Oxford University Press, New York. <a href=\"#return-footnote-869-2\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 2\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><li id=\"footnote-869-3\">Ulanowicz, R. E., and Puccia, C. J. 1990. Mixed trophic impacts in ecosystems. Coenoses, 5:7-16. <a href=\"#return-footnote-869-3\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 3\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><li id=\"footnote-869-4\">\"infinitesimal\" to indicate a small change that doesn't impact food availability noticeably. <a href=\"#return-footnote-869-4\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 4\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><li id=\"footnote-869-5\">Spoiler alert: check whales' or mackerel's MTI and diet  <a href=\"#return-footnote-869-5\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 5\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><li id=\"footnote-869-6\">If not, download the model database from the link at the bottom of this page \u2013 and when you open that model, don't load the included Scene 1 scenario, but create a new (default value) scenario. <a href=\"#return-footnote-869-6\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 6\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><li id=\"footnote-869-7\">Notice that we've now turned to addressing a policy\/research question, which helps focus how we work with models <a href=\"#return-footnote-869-7\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 7\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><\/ol><\/div><div class=\"glossary\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\" id=\"definition\">definition<\/span><template id=\"term_869_474\"><div class=\"glossary__definition\" role=\"dialog\" data-id=\"term_869_474\"><div tabindex=\"-1\"><\/div><button><span aria-hidden=\"true\">&times;<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Close definition<\/span><\/button><\/div><\/template><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1909,"menu_order":7,"template":"","meta":{"pb_show_title":"on","pb_short_title":"","pb_subtitle":"","pb_authors":[],"pb_section_license":""},"chapter-type":[49],"contributor":[],"license":[],"class_list":["post-869","chapter","type-chapter","status-publish","hentry","chapter-type-numberless"],"part":404,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/chapter"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1909"}],"version-history":[{"count":25,"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/869\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4443,"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/869\/revisions\/4443"}],"part":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/parts\/404"}],"metadata":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/869\/metadata\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"chapter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapter-type?post=869"},{"taxonomy":"contributor","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributor?post=869"},{"taxonomy":"license","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressbooks.bccampus.ca\/ewemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/license?post=869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}