Continuous Uniform Distributions
Calculating Probabilities Above/Below Values
Learning Objectives
Calculate the probability of being at least, more than, at most or less than a value.
Probability of Exactly One Value
For continuous distributions:
- The probability of being exactly at one value is zero.
- Ie:
Because of this:
At Least or More Than
For the probability of at least or more than , ie: or
- (the lowest value in the -range)
- (the highest possible -value)
This gives .
At Most or Less Than
For the probability of at most or less than , ie: or :
- (the lowest possible -value)
- (the highest value in the -range)
This gives
Let us look at calculating the probabilities of at least or more than a certain value.
Example 35.1.1
Problem Setup: During the morning commute, the time it takes to drive to BCIT follows a uniform distribution and is between 30 and 55 minutes. You slept in this morning and woke up 45 minutes before your class is about to begin.
Question: If it only takes you 5 minutes to get ready, what are the odds that you will be late for class?
You Try: First, let’s fill in the values for , , , and :
Solution: Next, let’s plug them into the equation:
Conclusion: There is a 60% chance that you will be late for class this morning.
Hints for Exercise: Click below to reveal explanations for the above exercise.
Let us now change up the problem slightly and show the solution in a video (see below).
Example 35.1.2
Problem Setup: Let us continue on with the previous example:
- You have 40 minutes to get to class.
- Your commute times are between 30 and 55 minutes.
- The times follow a uniform distribution.
Question: What is the probability of being on time or early for class?
Solution: Click here to download the written solutions. Also, see the video below:
Key Takeaways: Calculating Probabilities Above/Below Values
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