Normal Probability Distributions

An Applied Example

Learning Objectives

Apply NORM.DIST and NORM.INV to solve an industry quality control problem.

In this section, we will explore a quality control example. For this quality control example, we will examine if the process is producing parts with enough consistency in the production.

Example 41.1

Problem Setup: You are purchasing a large batch of 20 centimeter (cm) nuts for your company from a manufacturer.

image of a pile of metal nuts (the kind that should fit on bolts)
Figure 41.1 Bolts produced by manufacturer.

Before paying for the nuts – you perform quality control on the batch because you need these nuts to fit onto certain bolts in the product you are making.

Image of nuts fitting on bolts in a machine.
Figure 41.2 Nuts with 20 cm bolts affixed to them.

Sampling: You take a sample of nuts and measure the diameter of each. In order to pass quality control, the sample can only have 5% of nuts smaller than 19.8 cm in diameter. Note: We will talk a lot more about sampling in the next section!

Results: In the sample of nuts that you gather, you find that the average diameter is 20.1cm with a standard deviation of 0.1cm.

Question: Will you accept this batch from the manufacturer?

Method #1 to Solve Problem (Exercise)

You Try: Let us first calculate the diameter that 5% of the nuts in our sample are smaller than. In order to do this, let us first choose the correct diagram we will use to solve this problem:

Next, let us pick the correct Excel command to solve for the [latex]x[/latex]-value in question:

Finally, let’s draw a conclusion based off of our results:

Help to solve this problem? Click here for the Powerpoint slides. Click here for the Excel solutions. See below for the video solution and click below to reveal the written solutions.

Click here to reveal the written solutions for Method # 1

1) Let us first calculate the diameter that 5% of the nuts in our sample are smaller than. In order to do this, let us first choose the correct diagram we will use to solve this problem:

Bell curve with left-most 5% of graph highlighted and "x=?" at the bottom far right of this area. Twenty point one is written at the bottom in the middle of the graph.
Figure 41.3 Left 5% of bell curve highlighted.

2) Second, let us determine the Excel formula to calculate the [latex]x[/latex]-value from the above diagram: \[ x = \text{NORM.INV}(0.05, 20.1, 0.1) = 19.93551 \]

3) Finally, we can conclude that, because 19.93551cm is larger than the required 19.8cm limit, the nuts are large enough in diameter. Ie: More than 5% of the nuts are larger in diameter than 19.8cms and we can accept the batch of nuts from the manufacturer.

Bell curve with left-most 5% of graph highlighted and "x=19.94" at the bottom far right of this area. Twenty point one is written at the bottom in the middle of the graph. There is another line at x equals 19.8. Above that is written "less than five percent" to indicate that the area in this selected region is less than 5%.
Figure 41.4 5% area is less than 19.94 cms.

Method #2 to Solve Problem (Exercise)

You Try: Let us now solve the problem by determining the percent of nuts that have a diameter less than 19.8cm in the sample:

Next, let us pick the correct Excel command to solve for the [latex]x[/latex]-value in question:

Finally, let’s draw a conclusion based off of our results:

Help to solve this problem? Click here for the Powerpoint slides. Click here for the Excel solutions. See below for the video solution and click below to reveal the written solutions.

Click here to reveal the written solutions for Method # 2

1) Let us first calculate the percent of nuts with a diameter less than 19.8 cms. In order to do this, let us first choose the correct diagram we will use to solve this problem:

Bell curve with the area to the left of x equals nineteen point eight highlighted. Above the area is written "area equals ?" The mean of twenty point one is marked in the middle of the graph.
Figure 41.5 Unknown area below 19.8 cms.

2) Second, let us determine the Excel formula to calculate the unknown area in the above diagram: \[ area = \text{NORM.DIST}(19.8, 20.1, 0.1, 1) = 0.00135 \]

3) Finally, we can conclude that, because 0.00135 = 0.135% is smaller than the limit of 5%, enough of the nuts are larger than the limit of 19.8cms in diameter. Ie: Less than 5% of the nuts are smaller in diameter than 19.8cms and we can accept the batch of nuts from the manufacturer.

Bell curve with area to the left of 19.94 highlighted. X-value of 19.8 also indicated with area of 0.135% indicated above this area.
Figure 41.6 Areas to the left of 19.94 and 19.8cms.

Video Solution to This Section’s Example

Accompanying Resources

Key Takeaways (EXERCISE)

Key Takeaways: Applied Example

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An Introduction to Business Statistics for Analytics (1st Edition) Copyright © 2024 by Amy Goldlist; Charles Chan; Leslie Major; Michael Johnson is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License, except where otherwise noted.

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