Module 4: Risk Under Deep Uncertainty

Activity

Activity

For this week’s activity, I’m asking that we all reflect on the limitations of financial approaches to decision-making in light of deep uncertainty and non-negligible probabilities of catastrophic losses.

Things to consider in your reflection:

  1. How should deep uncertainty be represented in decision-making?
  2. To what extent are financial decision-making models suitable for decisions under deep uncertainty, and to what extent might they endorse insufficient action undertaken within inadequate timelines?
  3. Would the precautionary principle be a more suitable decision criteria than cost-benefit? Or another decision-making principle?
  4. Do we rely on financial models because they are salient to stakeholders and more reliably motivate action? If so, are they a necessary evil in the area of climate action?
  5. After your reflect on these topics, post a brief summary of your insights to the Moodle discussion board for Module 4. It is not necessary to address all of the above points in your contribution.

 

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Financial Impact of Climate Change Copyright © 2021 by Todd Thexton is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, except where otherwise noted.

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